HOW TO @POLYMARKET & @POLYMARKETTRADE 1. Pick Your Edge (Choose a Lane) Don’t scatter bets across everything from politics to sports. Pick one ecosystem where you understand the flow of information — like U.S. elections, crypto regulation, or economic data (CPI, rate cuts, etc.). Your information speed and interpretation are your edge. Examples: If you’re plugged into crypto Twitter → focus on crypto-related or macro markets. If you follow politics obsessively → election and polling markets. If you’re data-minded → inflation and rate markets with public data sets. 2. Copy Smarter Traders 👈🏼 Polymarket lets you view public addresses of top-performing traders. Use dashboards like PolyTrack or Manifold Analytics (community tools) to see which wallets have consistent wins. Then: Watch timing of their entries, not just direction. Mirror conviction bets, not spray-and-pray ones. Cross-check with news timing — were they in before headlines? 3. News Frontrunning This is where the edge gets spicy. Monitor X in real time for policy news, court rulings, Fed speeches. Set alerts for official sources (e.g. BLS for CPI, FOMC calendar, election polls). Place small initial positions before big reports, then scale after the first headline move confirms your bias. Polymarket reacts fast, but still lags institutional feeds by minutes — that’s your window. 4. Delta-Neutral (Risk-Off Edge) Once you’re comfortable, experiment with “market maker” style setups: Bet both sides of highly liquid markets where you can exit one side on volatility spikes. Hedge event risk with inversely correlated markets. Example: If you’re long “Trump wins 2024,” hedge by shorting “Biden approval > 45%.” Goal: Earn spread on odds tightening, not direction. 5. Custom Data Models (Optional Advanced Lane) For quant-inclined traders: Track odds shifts vs. news timestamps (Google Trends, PredictIt data, poll updates). Build a small script to alert you when probability divergence >5% between Polymarket and traditional bookies — that’s your arbitrage opportunity. 6. Bankroll Management Start with small units (1–2% per position). Treat Polymarket like poker — edge compounds only if you survive variance. Keep 50% in USDC for flexibility. Never all-in. The goal is consistency. 7. Daily Routine Template Morning: Scan top-volume markets, check odds shifts. Afternoon: Monitor breaking news feeds (Bloomberg, X lists). Evening: Log results, learn from misreads. Weekly: Review PnL by category and trader copied. Just created a custom interface in Notion to begin tracking all of the things....👀